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ECONOMETRIC MODELING OF MANAGERIAL DECISIONS AT THE MACRO AND MICRO LEVELS
Keywords:
Managerial decision, Managerial decision, managerial decision making model, managerial decision making model, managerial decision making mechanism, managerial decision making mechanism, crisis, crisis, macroeconomic imbalances, macroeconomic imbalances, problem, problem, econometric approach, econometric approach, data-driven decision-making, data-driven decision-making, Highest Paid Person's Opinion, Highest Paid Person's Opinion, data-driven decision making capability, data-driven decision making capability, nformation and analytical support of managerial decisions, nformation and analytical support of managerial decisions, regression model, regression model, econometrics, econometrics, canonical analysis, canonical analysis, taxonomic analysis, taxonomic analysis, cluster analysis, cluster analysis, principal component method, principal component method, tree of opportunities, tree of opportunities, migration policy, migration policy, economic security, economic security, innovative development, innovative development, living standards of the population, living standards of the population, innovation infrastructure, innovation infrastructure, development management, development management, local development strategies, local development strategies, regional tourism markets services, regional tourism markets services, tourism, tourism, hotel and restaurant industry, hotel and restaurant industry, personnel innovation potential, personnel innovation potential, strategic management, strategic management, cognitive model, cognitive model, strategic process concept, strategic process concept, strategic decision, strategic decision, strategic change, strategic change, SWOT analysis, SWOT analysis, Potential square, Potential square, competitiveness, competitiveness, efficiency, efficiencySynopsis
The theoretical and practical aspects of the application of the econometric approach to making managerial decisions in a crisis at the micro and macro levels are highlighted. Theoretical aspects determine the basic categories of the research problem: managerial decision, stages of managerial decision-making to determine the feasibility of using econometric methods, crisis and crisis phenomena, econometric approach. The specifics of making managerial decisions in a crisis at the micro and macro levels have been determined; the characteristic features, areas of problem solving and methods for solving managerial problems are considered, depending on the level of their formalization. Practical aspects highlight the rationale for the use of econometric methods at the stage of problem identification: identification of crisis phenomena in the relevant areas; a quantitative analysis of the crisis made it possible to identify and determine the imbalances. The advantages and disadvantages of the econometric approach to managerial decision-making are determined; general econometric methods of substantiating managerial decisions and their consequences are described. The features and advantages of Data-driven decision-making over Highest Paid Person's Opinion are determined; the types of information and analytical support of managerial decisions and the methods used for its formation are determined.
The author's understanding of the concepts "econometric approach to managerial decision making", "information and analytical support of managerial decisions" is proposed.
Practical aspects highlight the feasibility of using econometric methods and at the stage of justifying managerial decisions – the use of econometric methods in accordance with the scope of application, taking into account its specificity and state: a matrix "economic security – standard of living – innovative development" has been developed to justify the decision on the application of strategies to ensure economic security through changes in the level of innovative development and the standard of living of the population of the region (transformation strategy, innovative development strategy, human development strategy and growth strategy) on the basis of correlation-regression analysis, calculation of partial elasticity coefficients, a potentially most effective variant of reconfiguring the functional components of the innovation infrastructure was established; a model of authentic management of the development of the Ukrainian tourist services market has been developed, which assumes the use of specific mechanisms of authentic management and accounting for the authenticity of the cultural and historical resources of local tourism markets, the asymmetry of infrastructural and socio-economic development of markets, the spatial polarization of the location of climatic and recreational factors of local tourist markets; based on the results of the taxonomic analysis of the state of the hotel and restaurant industry, managerial solutions were proposed for the implementation of the strategy for the development of the hotel and restaurant industry for the coming period, including activities at the national level and at the level of individual business entities; an algorithm for making optimal decisions based on the development of the innovative potential of personnel has been developed: defining the problems of enterprise development; search for the reasons for the retardation of the development of the enterprise; determination of the reasons for the retardation of the development of the enterprise; determination of optimal solutions depending on the formulated problem; development of recommendations for achieving strategic goals, based on the construction of a "tree of opportunities"; a cognitive map (graph) of the process of making strategic decisions in the sphere of making strategic changes at mining and processing enterprises was built taking into account the influence of the following concepts: goals of strategic changes; the goals of the enterprise strategy implementation; the duration of the change lag; the level of encouragement of the team of changes; threshold opportunities for strategic change; unique opportunities for strategic change; average opportunities for strategic change; sufficiency of the potential for strategic changes; resistance to change; fiduciary corporate culture.
ISBN 978-617-7319-37-4 (on-line)
ISBN 978-617-7319-38-1 (print)
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How to Cite: Chernega, O., Yakovenko, Uy., Chepurnova, A., Makieieva, O., Nieizviestna, O., Ivanova, N. et. al.; Ivanova, N., Kozhukhova, T. (Eds.) (2021). Econometric modeling of managerial decisions at the macro and micro levels. Kharkiv: РС ТЕСHNOLOGY СЕNTЕR, 200. doi: http://doi.org/10.15587/978-617-7319-37-4
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Indexing:
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INTRODUCTION
by Natalia Ivanova, Tetiana Kozhukhova
https://doi.org/10.15587/978-617-7319-37-4.introduction
CHAPTER 1 Features of making managerial decisions in a crisis at the micro and macro levels
by Oksana Chernega, Uyrii Yakovenko, Anastasia Chepurnova, Oleksandra Makieieva
https://doi.org/10.15587/978-617-7319-37-4.ch1
CHAPTER 2 Quantitative crisis analysis: identifying and defining imbalances
by Olena Nieizviestna, Natalia Ivanova, Viktorija Koverza, Volodymyr Kotkovskyi, Yevhenii Tryhubchenko
https://doi.org/10.15587/978-617-7319-37-4.ch2
CHAPTER 3 Identification of managerial problem
by Tetiana Kozhukhova, Yuliia Bocharova, Lyubov Shevchenko, Olena Nieizviestna
https://doi.org/10.15587/978-617-7319-37-4.ch3
CHAPTER 4 Econometric approach to justification of managerial decisions
by Natalia Ivanova, Tetiana Kozhukhova, Valentina Barabanova, Valery Yankovsky
https://doi.org/10.15587/978-617-7319-37-4.ch4
CHAPTER 5 Information and analytical support for the development of a strategy for the development of the innovative infrastructure of Ukraine
by Yuliia Bocharova, Yuliia Lyzhnyk, Yuliia Vorobiova, Viktoriia Koshel
https://doi.org/10.15587/978-617-7319-37-4.ch5
CHAPTER 6 The use of cluster analysis tools in substantiating managerial decisions for the formation of local strategies for the development of tourism services markets
by Ganna Gorina, Galina Bohatyryova, Olha Nikolaichuk, Svitlana Revutska
https://doi.org/10.15587/978-617-7319-37-4.ch6
CHAPTER 7 Taxonomic analysis of strategic decisions for the development of the hotel and restaurant industry
by Olha Nikolaichuk, Nataliia Pryimak, Radion Nykyforov, Oleksandr Romanykha
https://doi.org/10.15587/978-617-7319-37-4.ch7
CHAPTER 8 Making optimal decisions based on the development of the innovative potential of personnel
by Kateryna Khavrova, Oksana Chernega, Nataly Lokhman, Maria Kolchuk
https://doi.org/10.15587/978-617-7319-37-4.ch8
CHAPTER 9 Making optimal strategic decisions in conditions of weakly structured systems using cognitive modeling techniques
by Nataliia Pryimak, Kateryna Khavrova, Alexander Kravtsov, Eugene Klevtsov
https://doi.org/10.15587/978-617-7319-37-4.ch9
CONCLUSIONS
by Natalia Ivanova, Tetiana Kozhukhova
https://doi.org/10.15587/978-617-7319-37-4.conclusions
Chapters
Author Biographies
Oksana Chernega, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Doctor of Economic Sciences, Professor, Acting Rector
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5659-3808
Uyrii Yakovenko, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Postgraduate Student
Department of Economics and International Economic Relations https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1653-0834
Anastasia Chepurnova, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Oleksandra Makieieva, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Postgraduate Student
Department of Economics and International Economic Relations https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9837-8137
Olena Nieizviestna, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
PhD, Associate Professor, Director of Institute
Educational and Scientific Institute of Economics, Management and Administration https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6135-6524
Natalia Ivanova, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Doctor of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor, Head of Department
Department of Marketing, Management and Public Administration https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5010-2668
Viktorija Koverza, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
PhD, Associate Professor
Department of Finance, Accounting and Taxation https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1465-0584
Volodymyr Kotkovskyi, National University "Odessa Law Academy"
Doctor of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor
Department of Socio-Political and Economic Disciplines
Kryvyi Rih Faculty https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5150-1751
Yevhenii Tryhubchenko, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Postgraduate Student
Department of Economics and International Economic Relations https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1368-4814
Tetiana Kozhukhova, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Doctor of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor, Vice-Rector http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6758-9890
Corresponding author:
interlink@donnuet.edu.ua
Yuliia Bocharova, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Doctor of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor, Head of Department
Department of Economics and International Economic Relations https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4829-8948
Lyubov Shevchenko, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
PhD, Associate Professor
Department of Finance, Accounting and Taxation https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2188-1735
Valentina Barabanova, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
PhD, Associate Professor, Director of Institute
Educational and Scientific Institute of Restaurant and Hotel Business and Tourism https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2954-4090
Valery Yankovsky, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Postgraduate Student
Department of Finance, Accounting and Taxation https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3998-6594
Yuliia Lyzhnyk, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Senior Lecturer
Department of Economics and International Economic Relations https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3432-7581
Yuliia Vorobiova, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Postgraduate Student
Department of Economics and International Economic Relations https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6508-6472
Viktoriia Koshel, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
PhD, Senior Lecturer
Department of Economics and International Economic Relations https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1807-7754
Ganna Gorina, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Doctor of Economic Sciences, Professor, Head of Department
Department of Tourism and Country Studies https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0900-0640
Galina Bohatyryova, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
PhD, Associate Professor
Department of Tourism and Country Studies https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3790-4735
Olha Nikolaichuk, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
PhD, Associate Professor
Head of the Department of Technology in Restaurant Industry, Hotel and Restaurant Business and Entrepreneurship https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7197-4713
Svitlana Revutska, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
PhD, Associate Professor
Department of Foreign Philology, Ukrainian Studies and Social and Law Disciplines https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8969-1295
Nataliia Pryimak, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Doctor of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor
Department of Marketing, Management and Public Administration https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0313-2581
Radion Nykyforov, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
PhD, Associate Professor, First Vice-Rector https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9823-9551
Oleksandr Romanykha, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
PhD, Associate Professor
Department of Economics and Business https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4695-3985
Kateryna Khavrova, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Doctor of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor, Acting Director of Institute
Educational and Scientific Institute of Business and Hospitality https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9376-0700
Nataly Lokhman, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Doctor of Economic Sciences, Professor, Head of Department
Department of Economics and Business https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8525-8902
Maria Kolchuk, PricewaterhouseCoopers GmbH Wirtschaftsprüfungsgesellschaft (PwC Germany)
Associate in the Internal Audit & GRC Department https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9651-7586
Alexander Kravtsov, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
PhD, Associate Professor
Department of Technology in Restaurant Industry, Hotel and Restaurant Business and Entrepreneurship https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6709-2753
Eugene Klevtsov, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Postgraduate Student
Department of Technology in Restaurant Industry, Hotel and Restaurant Business and Entrepreneurship https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9690-1748
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Copyright (c) 2021 Oksana Chernega, Uyrii Yakovenko, Anastasia Chepurnova, Oleksandra Makieieva, Olena Nieizviestna, Natalia Ivanova, Viktorija Koverza, Volodymyr Kotkovskyi, Yevhenii Tryhubchenko, Tetiana Kozhukhova, Yuliia Bocharova, Lyubov Shevchenko, Valentina Barabanova, Valery Yankovsky, Yuliia Lyzhnyk, Yuliia Vorobiova, Viktoriia Koshel, Ganna Gorina, Galina Bohatyryova, Olha Nikolaichuk, Svitlana Revutska, Nataliia Pryimak, Radion Nykyforov, Oleksandr Romanykha, Kateryna Khavrova, Nataly Lokhman, Maria Kolchuk, Alexander Kravtsov, Eugene Klevtsov
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Chernega, O., Yakovenko, U., Chepurnova, A., Makieieva, O., Nieizviestna, O., Ivanova, N., Koverza, V., Kotkovskyi, V., Tryhubchenko, Y., Kozhukhova, T., Bocharova, Y., Shevchenko, L., Barabanova, V., Yankovsky, V., Lyzhnyk, Y., Vorobiova, Y., Koshel, V., Gorina, G., Bohatyryova, G., Nikolaichuk, O., Revutska, S., Pryimak, N., Nykyforov, R., Romanykha, O., Khavrova, K., Lokhman, N., Kolchuk, M., Kravtsov, A., & Klevtsov, E. (2021). ECONOMETRIC MODELING OF MANAGERIAL DECISIONS AT THE MACRO AND MICRO LEVELS. Kharkiv: TECHNOLOGY CENTER PC. https://doi.org/10.15587/978-617-7319-37-4
